This weekend we’ve got the biggest contest we’ve ever observed for DraftKings MMA. We’ve got a $10 entry contest with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never believed we’d observe a 6-figure 1st place prize for MMA but that I was wrong and I can not wait to pursue it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings just made it bigger for us DFS players. We’re down to 12-fights so we can observe a range of ties for that 1st place prize, therefore strive to be different with your lineups someplace, or leave salary on the dining table to differ in this way. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this weekend Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” play on the card by a fantastic margin in his -900 betting line. I enjoy plugging in those high odds guys in cash so I can lock a triumph in there and fret about finding 3 other wins from my 5 other areas. We usually only need 4 wins in money games to beat the cash line, so that’s what I shoot for in these 50/50 or twice up games. Luque has been very remarkable in his UFC conduct and he’s overcome some fairly big names. On paper, this is one of his easiest matches nonetheless. In addition, he has large time upside down with his finishing possible. He has an ITD lineup of -270, therefore that I think we can have 100+ points in this triumph. He is a fantastic play in most formats, but he will be chalky in championships, so that is why he’s my money play of the week instead.
GPP play of the week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always excellent to target in GPPs because it just takes 1 shot with a lot of those guys. I believe that this is a great matchup for Volkov and he is only priced at $8.7k weekly. If he can get a 1st round KO at that price, he will likely be on the winning LU. Same is true for Lewis, so he’s a good GPP drama too. But, my choice to win will be Volkov and I enjoy his cost. I think a few men priced over him this week will be a lot higher owned, therefore we could find a heavyweight favored at lower possession here. Fight Does Not Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -190, so this is a fantastic GPP struggle to target over all. If you like the Dark Beast to find the W, then he’s a good fighter to throw on your GPP LUs.
Underdog play of the week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This really is the best odds worth on the card. Presently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 greater than Martin. I enjoy searching for line worth like that and that alone puts Martin in play in most formats. Martin also has the better odds to end this battle ITD, so that is another plus with him. I like the floor for Martin in cash games as well since Laflare isn’t very likely to finish if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we can afford a reduction from Martin and take the things he can rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of the week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could definitely get the win . But he’s going to have to acquire a finish to pay off his $8.6k price . Sergio won’t be going for almost any takedowns in this battle, and he does not strike a high enough speed for him to find 10x of that $8.6k. Sergio will be the better fighter on the feet, but if he doesn’t get a finish then he probably only scores 60-70 points at a win. Those low scores do not cut it in $8.6k. There are just better plays points each dollar and people are the guys I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you’re earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 on this link below:
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