Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing 2018 loop information and benefits, we provide betting pick to a championship and also handicap the race.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to battle for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one championship in their own professions, while Logano is attempting to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to see Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as»The Big Three» combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this season. Logano scored two wins himselfbut rode 25 top-10 finishes to earn his shot at Homestead.

Using historic loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to determine the best bet to win the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a handful of other MENCS tracks at 1.5 mph, there really aren’t any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers banking, which allows many lines to run , with the lane the fastest.

The track surface itself is also quite abrasive, and which wears out tires and makes new rubberized a huge advantage.

With tire wear making cars challenging to drive and progressive banking allowing drivers to choose unique lines, passing is simpler here than most other 1.5-mile tracks that are overly reliant upon aero for pace and so make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I chose to examine the four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a bit random, but I picked that amount for two factors. 2014 was the very first year which NASCAR went to the playoff format in which drivers progress through the playoff of the sport until four remain to race for the title at Homestead.

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