NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race and defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta odds are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four last week at the Daytona 500. Prior to making your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, make sure you have a look at the projected leaderboard in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into account.

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It made some enormous calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading contender from the start. Anybody who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. Now his model simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we could inform you the model is top on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott does not have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he’s had success there at all three of his starts in the track since joining the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished within the top 10 in each of these races and even earned a top-five finish in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it is something of a house monitor for the 23-year-old. The model anticipates him to ride that advantage to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the version: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up began on the rod in this race a season before, but ended up finishing in seventh position. The year before, he had yet another fast ride and began the race in third, but wound up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better worth within this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you will need to pay for him.

The model can be targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these shots can hit it big.

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