There is nothing better than identifying a mismatch in which the oddsmakers have made an error and you reap the rewards of an underdog win. However, that’s a whole lot easier to say than it’s to perform and at times it burns you another way when those apparent cut-and-dry favorites cost you money when the underdog pulls off that upset.
One of the most shocking upsets of 2018 had arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter Demetrious Johnson losing by unanimous choice to Henry Cejudo (+350) in UFC 227. This doesn’t mean you should be swinging for the fences on every card with a great deal of underdog stakes, but just know that there can be money to be made on a well-placed bet.
2018 was a Bounce-Back Year for Underdogs
Underdog successes were on the decline lately, as in 2015 dogs had a winning percentage of 38.5, but in 2017 that percentage dropped to 32. But, was a bit of a comeback in 2018 that trend has continued into 2019 and as underdogs finished at a 36 percentage that is winning.
Through 19 events this season, underdogs are hitting a speed of 36.8 percent. Most recently, UFC Fight Night Greenville: Moicano vs the Korean Zombie saw puppies win five of the 11 fights, making bettors $205.91 based on a $100 bet on each fight. The biggest upset of the evening was about the undercard using Molly McCann (+215) beating Ariane Lipski. Overall this year, the biggest upset is Allen Crowder (+375) over Greg Hardy.
The documents will be updated by odds Shark for underdogs versus favorites broken down per card following each event. Additionally, we will break down the profits based on $100 on each underdog versus $100 on each favorite.
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